Storms and Hurricanes in the Grenadines
May 2019: The NOAA has just issued their forecast for the 2019 Atlantic/Caribbean Hurricane season. An El Nino, (warmer waters in the Central and Eastern Pacific) is expected to last well into the summer. Hence a slightly below average hurricane season is expected for the Tropical North Atlantic and Caribbean sea. We will report any significant weather events happening in the Grenadines here as they occur.
Klotzbach and Gray of Colorado State University forecast for the 2019 season: 13 named tropical storms, 5 of which will become hurricanes and 2 of which they predict will become major hurricanes (of category 3 to 5 severity). Chance of a hurricane moving into the Caribbean is 39%, normal is 42%.
Between 1981 – 2010, the average season had 12 named storms, 6.5 hurricanes, and 2 intense hurricanes.
The hurricane season officially starts the 1st of June and ends the 1st of December. In the Grenadines we are very fortunate in that most if not all hurricanes used to pass well to the North of us. However, in 2004 and 2005 Grenada had 2 direct hits. All we can do is hope things go back to “normal”.
St. Vincent and the Grenadines are still one of the lowest ranked on the “hurricane capital of the East Caribbean” top 60. (55, just above Aruba, Bonaire, Curacao). See pictures at the bottom of this page.
Storm Tracks between 1851-2010